Mar 10, 2013

MBS


MBS behaves like a bond with embedded call option.
It has negative convexity when interests are falling. 
And b/c of the embedded option like character, it can't be hedged using only Treasuries, or standard futures.


Five Risks Associated with Mortgage Securities
  • Spread Risk
  • Interest rate risk
  • Prepayment risk
  • Volatility risk
  • Model risk

1. Spread Risk:
  • **You do not want to hedge this risk**
  • Buy more MBS when spread is wide and Sell when spread is narrow.
2. Interest Rate Risk:
  • Usually hedged using Duration, however it isn't work very well.
  • Increase Duration when interest expected to fall, and vice versa, 
  • Duration only manage small changes in interest rate in a parallel movement, it doesn't capture the risk when there is yield curve twist or any other non-parallel movement. 
  • Dynamic Hedging is the way to go.
3. Prepayment Risk:
  • Can use Dynamic Hedge as well
4. Volatility Risk:
  • B/c of the embedded call option, MBS generally more volatile than option free bonds
  • The option can be hedged using options
  • **As interest rate volatility increase the option value increases
5. Model Risk:
  •  This is not really hedgeble risk. 
  • More like human mistake

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